Friday, March 2, 2007

Drivers of Retail Growth in India

DEMOGRAPHICS

  1. 60 % of Indian population is less than 30 years of age
  2. 6 metropolitan cities contributes 6% of Indian population , 14 % of Indian GDP & 60 % of shopping malls.
  3. Urban population spends 2.5 times more than rural population.
  4. Greater per capita income
  5. Increase in disposable income of middle class household
    • Growing at a pace of over 10% per annum over last decade
    • Falling interest rates.
    • Easier consumer credit
6.The Urban Consumer
    • Getting exposed to international lifestyle
    • Inclined to acquiring assets
    • More discerning and demanding than ever
    • No longer need-based shopping
    • Shopping is a family experience
    • Increasing tendency to spend
    • Post Liberalization children coming of age
    • 100 mn 17-21 year olds. Tend to spend freely.
    • Greater levels of education

ECONOMIC STABILITY

    • 8% annual growth.( service driven GDP growth)
    • FER( foreign exchange reserve)= USB$140
    • FDI = USB$8
    • 20 % increase in export from last year..
    • Private consumption is 68% of GDP( India is the highest nation in terms of private consumption).
    • Second most favoured destination after china for FDI.
    • Unemployment rate has decreased to 7.8% in 2006 as against 10.3% in 2003.
    • 24% decrease in unemployment post liberalization.
    • India ranked 1st in the A.T Kearney Global Retail Development Index.
      (Considering the Country risk, Market Attractiveness, Saturation & Time Pressure)